Game preview · Thu 7:30 PM MT

Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder: preview and win probability

Denver Nuggets visit Oklahoma City Thunder. Nuggets have not played a regular-season game yet, while Thunder are 1-0 and have gone L-W-L-L-W in their last 5.

Our ratings favor Thunder: about 77% to win, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 110, Oklahoma City Thunder 118. A win for Nuggets would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 15 times in our recent records. Thunder lead 9-6, and the average margin has been 5.8 points in favor of Thunder.

On the injury report, Thomas Sorber (OKC), Nikola Topic (OKC), Otega Oweh (OKC), and Julian Strawther (DEN) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Thunder.
  • Watch the rotation: 4 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 10: OKC 107, DEN 127
  • Mar 9: DEN 126, OKC 129
  • Feb 27: DEN 121, OKC 127
  • Feb 1: OKC 121, DEN 111
  • May 18: DEN 93, OKC 125 (playoffs)

Injury report

Denver Nuggets
  • Spencer Jones Questionable · back Oct 22
  • Julian Strawther Out · back Nov 29
Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Thomas Sorber Out · back Oct 26
  • Nikola Topic Out · back Oct 26
  • Otega Oweh Out · back Jul 1

Win probability

23%
77%
NuggetsThunder

Projected score: Nuggets 110, Thunder 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

DENOKC
Record0-01-0
Last 5LLLWLLWLLW
Points per game–116
Allowed per game–104
Days of rest–1
Rating15931705

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