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Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers: preview and win probability

Golden State Warriors visit Los Angeles Lakers early in the season. Neither team has a regular-season result yet, so our read leans on last season's games: Warriors went L-L-L-W-L and Lakers went W-L-L-L-L over their last five.

The model leans toward Lakers: about 78% to win, with a projected score of Golden State Warriors 110, Los Angeles Lakers 118. A win for Warriors would count as a real upset. These are model estimates built from past results, not guarantees.

The teams have met 8 times in our recent records. Lakers lead 6-2, and the average margin has been 6.6 points in favor of Lakers.

On the injury report, Collin Sexton (LAL), Cameron Carr (LAL), Adou Thiero (LAL), and Kristaps Porzingis (GSW) are listed as out.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth roughly three points in our model, which helps Lakers.
  • Watch the rotation: 7 players are listed as out across the two teams.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 9: LAL 119, GSW 103
  • Feb 28: LAL 129, GSW 101
  • Feb 7: GSW 99, LAL 105
  • Oct 21: GSW 119, LAL 109
  • Apr 3: GSW 123, LAL 116

Injury report

Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Stephen Curry Probable · back Oct 21
  • Charles Bassey Out · back Oct 23
Los Angeles Lakers
  • Collin Sexton Out · back Oct 23
  • Cameron Carr Out · back Oct 23
  • Adou Thiero Out · back Oct 23
  • Walker Kessler Available

Win probability

22%
78%
WarriorsLakers

Projected score: Warriors 110, Lakers 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Matchup at a glance

GSWLAL
Record0-00-0
Last 5LLLWLWLLLL
Points per game––
Allowed per game––
Days of rest––
Rating14481567

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