Dallas Mavericks (2-2) beat Miami Heat (0-4) 113-109 on the road on Monday, October 26. The Heat led after three quarters, but the Mavericks took control in the fourth.
The game, quarter by quarter
The Heat had the better start, winning the first 27-23 to lead by 4 after one. The Mavericks moved in front with a 30-25 second quarter, carrying a 1-point lead into halftime.
The Heat won the third 32-30 to turn the game around, taking a 1-point lead into the fourth. The Mavericks took the fourth 30-25; the Mavericks completed the comeback for a 113-109 regulation win.
What decided it
The Mavericks grabbed 28.3% of their own misses, while the Heat recovered 20.8%. The Mavericks got more from their shots, finishing at 53.2% effective field-goal shooting compared with 51.6% for the Heat. In a 4-point game, the second chances kept adding up.
The Heat did win one battle, ball security: TOV% of 13.1 against 15.5. The Mavericks made up for it elsewhere.
At roughly 105 possessions per team, the Mavericks produced 107.5 points per 100 possessions to 103.7 for the Heat.
Who made the difference
Cooper Flagg was the game's biggest individual force for DAL: 29 pts, 6 reb, 11 ast, 4 stl on 12-23 shooting. His Game Score of 26.4 led everyone. His team was +8 with him on the floor.
Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Heat with 29 pts, 15 reb, 11 ast on 12-23 shooting, good for a 25.6 Game Score.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (29 pts, 15 reb, 11 ast), Bobby Portis (10 pts, 12 reb, 2 ast), and Cooper Flagg (29 pts, 6 reb, 11 ast) each recorded a double-double.
What it means
By our Win Meter this was an upset: The Mavericks entered with about a 26% chance.
Across the last 4 meetings in our records, the series is even.
The Mavericks are now 2-2, and the Heat are 0-4. The Mavericks last five before this game: L-W-L-W-L.
Written automatically by Tip Off Live software from box score data. Ratings and probabilities are our own model estimates.